Pre-tourney Rankings
Stephen F. Austin
Southland
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.7#83
Expected Predictive Rating+8.1#62
Pace57.5#331
Improvement-2.8#289

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#219
Improvement+0.1#166

Defense
Total Defense+7.5#16
Improvement-2.9#306
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 17, 2012 187   @ Florida International W 69-60 64%     1 - 0 +11.1 -4.8 +15.6
  Nov 24, 2012 175   @ Tulsa W 57-41 61%     2 - 0 +18.7 -1.7 +23.4
  Dec 01, 2012 162   San Diego W 56-51 80%     3 - 0 +1.9 -11.1 +13.7
  Dec 05, 2012 95   @ Texas A&M L 54-62 41%     3 - 1 +0.2 -7.1 +6.3
  Dec 18, 2012 43   @ Oklahoma W 56-55 23%     4 - 1 +14.5 -4.4 +19.0
  Dec 20, 2012 347   Grambling St. W 60-38 99.8%    5 - 1 -13.1 -23.5 +12.2
  Dec 29, 2012 310   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 67-56 87%     6 - 1 1 - 0 +4.6 -0.9 +6.9
  Jan 03, 2013 346   Lamar W 79-43 99%     7 - 1 2 - 0 +13.8 +1.6 +13.8
  Jan 05, 2013 299   McNeese St. W 71-43 94%     8 - 1 3 - 0 +15.7 -1.2 +19.6
  Jan 10, 2013 301   @ Central Arkansas W 77-69 86%     9 - 1 4 - 0 +2.1 -0.7 +2.9
  Jan 12, 2013 163   @ Oral Roberts W 61-50 59%     10 - 1 5 - 0 +14.4 -3.9 +19.7
  Jan 17, 2013 280   SE Louisiana W 52-40 93%     11 - 1 6 - 0 +1.4 -15.2 +18.9
  Jan 19, 2013 288   Nicholls St. W 72-49 94%     12 - 1 7 - 0 +11.6 +2.2 +12.5
  Jan 26, 2013 131   @ Northwestern St. L 57-61 50%     12 - 2 7 - 1 +1.6 -16.1 +17.8
  Jan 30, 2013 299   @ McNeese St. W 59-39 86%     13 - 2 8 - 1 +14.1 -10.4 +26.8
  Feb 02, 2013 346   @ Lamar W 65-51 97%     14 - 2 9 - 1 -1.7 -4.6 +4.7
  Feb 07, 2013 301   Central Arkansas W 72-36 94%     15 - 2 10 - 1 +23.6 -7.1 +32.0
  Feb 09, 2013 163   Oral Roberts W 77-67 80%     16 - 2 11 - 1 +6.9 +4.6 +2.8
  Feb 14, 2013 288   @ Nicholls St. W 63-51 84%     17 - 2 12 - 1 +7.1 +1.0 +8.7
  Feb 16, 2013 280   @ SE Louisiana L 50-54 82%     17 - 3 12 - 2 -8.1 -16.6 +8.0
  Feb 20, 2013 235   @ Sam Houston St. W 50-44 74%     18 - 3 13 - 2 +5.0 -11.9 +17.9
  Feb 22, 2013 142   @ Long Beach St. W 68-60 53%     19 - 3 +12.8 -4.7 +17.5
  Mar 02, 2013 131   Northwestern St. W 64-63 74%     20 - 3 14 - 2 +0.2 -6.4 +6.6
  Mar 07, 2013 235   Sam Houston St. W 57-42 89%     21 - 3 15 - 2 +7.5 -4.9 +15.3
  Mar 09, 2013 310   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 58-49 95%     22 - 3 16 - 2 -3.9 +0.4 -0.9
  Mar 15, 2013 280   SE Louisiana W 68-57 88%     23 - 3 +3.7 +5.0 +0.7
  Mar 16, 2013 131   Northwestern St. L 66-68 63%     23 - 4 +0.4 +0.4 -0.3
Projected Record 23.0 - 4.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1% 0.1% 12.2 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 12.2 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%